Wednesday, March 28, 2007

Implementing Money Management Techniques

Implementing Money Management Techniquesby -Bennett McDowell-
Implementing sound money management encompasses many techniques and skills intertwined by the trader's judgment। All three of these ingredients must be in place before the trader is said to be using a money management program along with their trading. Failure to implement a good money management program will leave the trader subject to the deadly "risk-of-ruin" exposure leading eventually to a probable equity bust.

Whenever I hear of a trade making a huge killing in the market on a relatively small or average trading account, I know the trader was most likely not implementing sound money management. In cases such as this, the trader more than likely exposed themselves to obscene risk because of an abnormally high "Trade Size." In this case the trader or gambler may have gotten lucky leading to a profit windfall. If this trader continues trading in this manner, probabilities indicate that it is just a matter of time before huge losses dwarf the wins, and/or eventually lead to a probable equity bust or total loss.
Whenever I hear of a trader trading the same number of shares or contracts on every trade, I know that this trader is not calculating their maximum "Trade Size." If they where, then the "Trade Size" would change from time to time when trading.
In order to implement a money management program to help reduce your risk exposure, you must first believe that you need to implement this sort of program. Usually this belief comes after having a few large losses that cause enough psychological pain that you want and need to change. You need to understand how improper "Trade Size" actually will hurt your trading.

Winning Chart Patterns

Winning Chart -Patternsby Harry Boxer -
Breakouts of long bases on strong volume are frequent harbingers of continued price appreciation। Another harbinger, after the initial up-leg, is a low-volume, orderly pullback towards support.

Kendle International (KNDL)
An analysis of Kendle International's chart illustrates this strategy. As the daily chart indicates, Kendle in February 2005 broke out of a base pattern that extended back almost two years. Some traders, who missed entering early, may have given up on the stock when it doubled by late June, but a closer look at the chart shows why it had more room to move.
Kendle's pullbacks were orderly, coming on lower volume and holding near its moving averages, a key sign of more upside to come। Only once did its pullback break beneath the 40-day moving average (in mid-April), but on extremely low volume. Otherwise, as the daily chart indicates, each pullback hugged the 21-day moving average, or, at worst, as in early July, touched the 40-day.

The pattern was breakout (February), flag, breakout (June), flag, breakout (July), flag, breakout (August), flag and a breakout again in September, where it closed the month at $28.14, more than 3 1/2 times its price before the February breakout. Volume on each pullback was a small fraction of the level of the breakout, and a shallow decline just grazing the moving averages suggested a continuation of the uptrend.

Sunday, March 25, 2007

Forex trading - Stop Loss -

Stop Loss - Q&Aby Alan Farley -

I get more questions about stop losses than about any other subject. Clearly this strategy causes traders a lot of pain and confusion. Some of it stems from the schizoid nature of our modern markets. But most of it reflects an underlying weakness in trade management skills.
What takes place at the end of a trade usually reflects decisions made at the beginning। In other words, the best entries usually lead to the most profitable exits. This is the most urgent wisdom I can give when it comes to stop-loss placement.

We can spend hours deciding whether a stock is a good buy or a good sell, but this emphasis is often misplaced. Over time, carefully chosen exits are more important than great entries. You don't believe me? Just ask all those folks who bought tech stocks in the late 1990s.
I've compiled a question-and-answer session that addresses the most important elements of stop-loss strategy।

Q - Where do I place my stop loss when shorting a stock that gaps down?
A - The most obvious place is just above the price level where the gap would be filled। But that's a generic answer. It's more effective to place the stop loss on top of converging resistance, such as highs, Fibonacci retracements and moving averages. A bouncing stock will have a very hard time getting through those levels.